关键词: 菅义伟, 疫情防范, 日本内政, 日本外交, 东京奥运会

Abstract: Can Suga Yoshihide be a long-term Prime Minister? It must be analyzed from various factors which have impacts on the Suga Yoshihide Cabinet in power. The issue of science council is an example in which the Suga government grossly interfered with academic freedom. It cast a shadow on Japanese intelligentsia and intellectuals and also has an extended negative effect on the Suga Cabinet. In terms of COVID-19, due to the variability and complexity of the epidemic itself, it is difficult to make an accurate judgement whether Suga can stay in power for a long time. However, the predicted result is most likely negative. At the economic level, the economy of Japan will be driven by other developed countries, because with the widespread vaccination in the US and Europe, it is possible for the developed countries to achieve herd immunity first. This could help Suga government in one way or another to make some economic achievements and gain more public support.As for domestic politics of Japan, the status of Suga as a Prime Minister is relatively stabilized because his approval rating is relatively high and he gets support from the mainstream of Japans Liberal Democratic Party. Besides, Sugas achievements on foreign affairs have positive influence on his government. So the government of Suga is relatively stabilized and it is possible that he will be in power for around two years rather than the temperate term of less than one year.

Key words: Suga Yoshihide, Covid-19 prevention, domestic politics of Japan, Japan foreign affairs, Tokyo Olympics