日本问题研究 ›› 2021, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (2): 17-30.DOI: 10.14156/j.cnki.rbwtyj.2021.02.003

• 经济研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

中日旅游服务产业内贸易失衡核心因素及对策——基于灰色关联分析视角

金仁淑,卢亚夫   

  1. 中国政法大学 商学院,北京 100088
  • 出版日期:2021-04-25 发布日期:2021-05-24
  • 作者简介:金仁淑,女,朝鲜族,博士,中国政法大学教授,博士生导师,主要从事日本经济制度、中日经济合作、东亚经济一体化研究。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社科基金重大项目 “构建人类命运共同体进程中国际经贸规则重构博弈与中国的战略选择”(19ZDA053)

Research on the Core Factors and Countermeasures of SinoJapanese Intra Industry Trade Imbalance in Tourism Services: Based on the Perspective of Grey Correlation Analysis

JIN Ren-shu,LU Ya-fu   

  1. Business School, China University of Political Science and Law, Beijing, 100088, China
  • Online:2021-04-25 Published:2021-05-24

摘要: 近年来中国对日旅游服务贸易逆差持续扩大,而突如其来的新冠疫情使得中日旅游服务双边贸易 雪上加霜。后疫情时代推进中日旅游服务贸易,加强中日经贸合作尤为重要。基于21世纪中日旅游贸易 发展现状及特点,结合贸易理论及灰色关联分析方法,分析了中日旅游服务产业内贸易的动机及影响因 素,认为重叠需求引导下的中日旅游服务贸易经历 “产业间—产业内—产业间”的发展阶段,呈现出中国 逆差持续扩大的失衡态势;而中日国际旅游市场规模差异、市场开放差异以及居民收入水平差异是引致两 国旅游服务产业内贸易失衡的三大核心因素。显然,后疫情时代中国急需提升旅游服务质量、降低服务贸 易壁垒、建立国内旅游新优势,提升中日旅游服务产业内贸易水平。

关键词: 中日, 旅游服务产业内贸易, 贸易失衡, 影响因素

Abstract: In recent years, China's trade deficit in tourism services to Japan has continued to expand, and the sudden outbreak of the novel coronavirus pneumonia epidemic makes the bilateral trade in tourism services even worse. In the post epidemic era, promoting Sino-Japanese tourism service trade and strengthening Sino-Japanese economic and trade cooperation is particularly important. Based on the current situation and characteristics of tourism trade between China and Japan after the 21st century, combined with trade theory and grey correlation analysis method, this paper focuses on the motivation and influencing factors of the formation of Sino-Japanese tourism service intra industry trade. It is believed that the Sino-Japanese tourism service trade under the guidance of overlapping demand has experienced the development stage of “from inter industry to intra industry to inter industry”, showing that China's deficit continues to expand. The differences of international tourism market scale, market opening, and residents' income level between China and Japan are the three core factors leading to the imbalance of intra industry trade level of tourism services between the two countries. Obviously, in the post epidemic era, China urgently needs to improve the quality of tourism services, reduce the barriers to trade in services, establish new advantages of domestic tourism, and enhance the level of intra industry trade in tourism services between China and Japan.

Key words: China and Japan, intra industry trade in tourism services, trade imbalance, influencing factors

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