日本问题研究 ›› 2016, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (3): 1-11.DOI: 10.14156/j.cnki.rbwtyj.2016.03.001

• 论著 •    下一篇

日本海洋国家战略与北极地缘政治格局演变研究

李振福,何弘毅   

  1. 大连海事大学 交通运输管理学院,辽宁 大连 116026
  • 收稿日期:2016-03-21 出版日期:2016-06-25 发布日期:2016-06-25
  • 作者简介:李振福(1969—),男,吉林榆树人,博士,博士生导师,大连海事大学交通运输管理学院教授,大连海事大学极地海事研究中心主任,主要从事北极航线经济政治研究;何弘毅(1995—),男,北京人,大连海事大学交通运输管理学院国际经济与贸易专业学生,主要从事国际经济与贸易研究。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社科基金重大项目(13&ZD170);2013年教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划项目(MCET 13 0701);国家自然科学基金项目(61174166);大连海事大学创新团队项目(3132014314)

Study on Japan’s National Ocean Strategy and Change of Arctic Geopolitical Structure

LI Zhen fu,HE Hong yi   

  1. Dalian Polar Maritime Research Center, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian Liaoning, 116026,China
  • Received:2016-03-21 Online:2016-06-25 Published:2016-06-25

摘要: 日本的海洋战略经历了扩张——收缩——再扩张的发展阶段。出于对北极地区的资源、环境、战略价值、经济价值的多方面考量,日本政府近年在海洋国家战略框架下积极参与北极事务,谋求北极权益。日本对北极事务介入力度的加强,也将引起北极地缘政治格局的较大变化。文章首先分析了日本国家海洋战略的发展历程以及未来趋势,指出日本的海洋战略主要受其国家身份认知(发展成为海洋国家或是大陆国家)、东亚大陆地缘政治格局及海洋霸主国——美国的影响,并得出未来日本的海洋战略将呈现出对外扩张的趋势,进而探究了日本国家海洋战略受北极地缘政治格局的影响以及日本海洋战略的未来发展趋势,得出日本未来将制约中国的北极参与战略、缓和对俄关系、并增强其军事力量,最后从俄罗斯、日本、中国、美国4个国家为出发点分析北极地缘政治格局的演变。

关键词: 北极, 地缘政治格局, 日本国家海洋战略

Abstract: Japan’s National Ocean Strategy has gone through an expanding shrinking re expanding development phase. In view of the resources, environment, strategic and economic value in Arctic area, Japanese government has positively participated in Arctic affairs and pursued the Arctic benefits under the frame of national ocean strategy. The strong intervention towards Arctic affairs made by Japanese government may cause a significant change in Arctic Geopolitical Structure. This paper analyzes the development process and the future trend of the Japanese national ocean strategy, and draws a conclusion that the Japanese national ocean strategy is mainly influenced by the nation identification of Japan (to be a marine nation or continental nation), the geopolitical pattern of East Asia, and the marine super power US. This paper also reflects that the Japanese national ocean strategy will show a tendency of expansion in the future. Then, this paper analyzes how Arctic geopolitical structure will influence Japan's national ocean strategy and the trend of the changes of Japan’s national ocean strategy in the future, puts forward that Japan will restrict China in developing Arctic engagement strategy, having better diplomatic relations with Russia and enhancing its military force. Finally, studying the change of the Arctic Geopolitical Structure should be based on the standing points of China, US, Russia, Japan.

Key words: Arctic, geopolitical structure, Japan’s national ocean strategy

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