日本对中南半岛四国官方
发展援助的贸易效应——基于引力模型的实证

doi:10.14156/j.cnki.rbwtyj.2021.01.002

日本问题研究 ›› 2021, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (1): 11-20.DOI: 10.14156/j.cnki.rbwtyj.2021.01.002

日本对中南半岛四国官方发展援助的贸易效应——基于引力模型的实证

魏景赋，徐雪颖

上海理工大学管理学院，上海 200093

出版日期:2021-02-25 发布日期:2021-04-06
作者简介:魏景赋，男，经济学博士，上海理工大学教授，主要从事国际贸易学、世界经济、经济史学研究。
基金资助:
上海市哲学社会科学规划青年课题“中国企业走出去如何‘择邻而居’——多理论视角的研究”（2017EGL010）

The Trade Effect of Japanese Official Development Assistance to the Four Countries of the Indochina Peninsula——An Empirical Analysis Based on Gravity Model

WEI Jing-fu, XU Xue-ying

College of Management, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Yangpu Dirstrict, Shanghai, 200093, China

Online:2021-02-25 Published:2021-04-06

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 基于1971年—2014年间日本对中南半岛四国（柬埔寨、老挝、缅甸、越南，简称CLMV）的官方发展援助（ODA）与双边贸易的面板数据，以贸易引力模型为工具，实证分析了日本对四国的官方发展援助（ODA）和双边贸易增长的联动关系，探讨了日本对中南半岛区域内相关国家官方发展援助所产生的贸易效应。结果表明：日本对CLMV的官方发展援助（ODA）与双边贸易流量具有显著的正向关系，其对外援助的确具有积极的贸易促进效应。

关键词: 官方发展援助, 中南半岛, 贸易效应, 引力模型

Abstract: Based on the panel data of Japan's official development assistance (ODA) and bilateral trade with the four countries of the Indochina Peninsula (Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Vietnam) from 1971 to 2014, this paper empirically analyzes Japan's linkage relationship between ODA development assistance and bilateral trade growth in the four countries of the Indochina Peninsula and discusses the trade effects of Japan's official development assistance to the Indochina Peninsula. The results show that Japan's ODA development assistance to the four countries of the Indochina Peninsula has a significant positive relationship with bilateral trade flows, and its foreign aid does have a positive trade facilitation effect.

Key words: official development assistance, Indochina Peninsula, trade effect, gravity model

中图分类号:

F753/757

魏景赋，徐雪颖. 日本对中南半岛四国官方发展援助的贸易效应——基于引力模型的实证[J]. 日本问题研究, 2021, 35(1): 11-20.

WEI Jing-fu, XU Xue-ying. The Trade Effect of Japanese Official Development Assistance to the Four Countries of the Indochina Peninsula——An Empirical Analysis Based on Gravity Model[J]. Japanese Research, 2021, 35(1): 11-20.

参考文献

［1］常思纯.日本为何积极介入湄公河地区［J］.世界知识,2018(21):24-25.
［2］ARAKI. Japans official development assistance: The Japan ODA model that began life in Southeast Asia［J］. Asia Pacific Review, 2007, 14(2):17-29.
［3］毕世鸿, 何光文. 冷战后日本的大湄公河次区域政策及其行动选择研究［J］.东南亚研究, 2009(3):62-67.
［4］LLOYD ,MCGILLIVRAY, MORRISSEY , et al. Does aid create trade? An investigation for European donors and African recipients［J］. The European Journal of Development Research, 2000, 12(1):107-123.
［5］WAGNER.Aid and trade—An empirical study［J］. Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 2003, 17(2):153-173.
［6］SUWAEISENMANNA,VERDIER. Aid and trade［J］.Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2007,23(3):81-507.
［7］BRENTON , VON UEXKULL. Product specific technical assistance for exports—Has it been effective?［J］. The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 2009, 18(2):235-254.
［8］MASSIMILIANOCAL, VELDE. Does aid for trade really improve trade performance?［J］. Social Science Electronic Publishing, 2011, 39(5):725-740.
［9］BUSSE, HOEKSTRA , KNIGER . The impact of aid for trade facilitation on the costs of trading［J］. Kyklos, 2012, 65(2):143-163.
［10］VIJIL, WAGNER. Does aid for trade enhance export performance? Investigating the infrastructure channel［J］. World Economy, 2012, 35(7):838-868.
［11］HELBLE, MANN, WILSON. Aid for trade facilitation［J］. Review of World Economics, 2012, 148(2):357-376.
［12］FERRO, PORTUGALPEREZ, WILSON.Aid to the services sector: Does it affect manufacturing exports?［J］. The World Economy, 2014, 37(4):530-541.
［13］LEMI, ADUGNA. Aid for trade and Africas trade performance: Evidence from bilateral trade flows with China and OECD countries［J］. Journal of African Trade, 2017(4):37-60.
［14］SKARVALL L. Does Swedish aid help or hinder bilateral trade - An empirical study on the effect of official development assistance and aid for trade［D］.Sweden: Uppsala Universitet,2012:6-21.
［15］NOWAKLEHMANN, INNACULADAMARTINEZZARZOSO, HERZER, et al. Does foreign aid promote recipient exports to donor countries?［J］. Review of World Economics, 2013,149(3):505535.
［16］PETTERSSON, JOHANSSON. Aid, aid for Trade, and bilateral trade: An empirical study［J］. Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 2013, 22(6)：866-894.
［17］朱丹丹, 黄梅波. 中国对外援助的贸易成本削减效应研究［J］. 世界经济研究, 2015(7):100-107.
［18］朱丹丹, 黄梅波. 中国对外援助能够促进受援国的贸易发展吗? ——基于非洲16个受援国面板数据的实证研究［J］. 广东社会科学,2017(1):19-28.
［19］邱静.两次安倍内阁的“价值观外交”［J］.外交评论(外交学院学报),2014(3):66-82.
［20］魏景赋,邱成利.大湄公河区域经济研究:GMS机制内的产业与贸易合作［M］.上海：文汇出版社, 2010:215-231.

[1]	吴宇,逯洋. 日本官方发展援助对东南亚五国经济增长的影响[J]. 日本问题研究, 2021, 35(4): 45-55.
[2]	郑磊，祝宁. 日本对亚洲直接投资动机与潜力估计——基于扩展引力模型的实证检验[J]. 日本问题研究, 2019, 33(1): 44-57.

日本对中南半岛四国官方发展援助的贸易效应——基于引力模型的实证

The Trade Effect of Japanese Official Development Assistance to the Four Countries of the Indochina Peninsula——An Empirical Analysis Based on Gravity Model

PDF (PC)

可视化

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

参考文献

相关文章 2

编辑推荐

Metrics

本文评价

日本对中南半岛四国官方 发展援助的贸易效应——基于引力模型的实证

The Trade Effect of Japanese Official Development Assistance to the Four Countries of the Indochina Peninsula——An Empirical Analysis Based on Gravity Model

PDF (PC)

可视化

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

参考文献

相关文章 2

编辑推荐

Metrics

本文评价

日本对中南半岛四国官方发展援助的贸易效应——基于引力模型的实证