JAPANESE RESEARCH ›› 2020, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (4): 1-14.DOI: 10.14156/j.cnki.rbwtyj.2020.04.001
• Original Paper • Next Articles
ZHANG Ji-feng
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Abstract: Since the economic bubble burst in the early 1990s, Japan has not achieved real economic recovery. After 2013, Japan has a low level of longterm economic boom, but in the second half of 2019, Japanese economy began to take a downward turn. The sudden severe COVID19 pandemic has seriously damaged Japans economy, and made it even worse. The direct impact of COVID19 on Japans economy is that it has important negative effects on Japan's tourism industry, air transport, hotel, catering industry and exhibition industries; the indirect impact is that the the contraction of global economy and the break of industry chain cause the reduction of foreign demand and the stagnation of domestic production in Japan. With COVID19 epidemic waning, Japans domestic economy is on the mend, but it is still in an extremely serious situation. Moreover, the UScentric epidemic spread is still very grim, and is far from over. The world economy is expected to continue to decline. Looking to the future, Japans economy in postepidemic era is facing many challenges, and the prospect is not bright. Japans economy will shrink by about 5% in 2020, and it will fully recover to the level before the epidemic after 2022. In the medium and long term, with the progress of superaging society, the fiscal position will continue to deteriorate, labor shortage will increasingly become a restriction factor, the hopedfor potential economic growth may not arrive, and slow decline of Japanese economy is difficult to change.
Key words: Japanese economy, impact of COVID19, postepidemic era, Abenomics boom, economic outlook
CLC Number:
F13/17
ZHANG Ji-feng. Impact of COVID19 and Japanese Economy in PostEpidemic Era[J]. JAPANESE RESEARCH, 2020, 34(4): 1-14.
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